So true, about difficult to gauge. Especially with the SOP, I must have made 45 versions of it and sent it out to any consenting adult I've known in academia. CV should be decent. Or not, who knows haha. 
  
I applied to a ton of schools that are outside of my realm of possibility: 
  
University of Arizona, Northwestern, Indiana U - Bloomington, UC Boulder (like everyone else, apparently), Emerson, Ithaca, U Pitt, Temple U, MGH 
  
Thank you for wishing me good luck! To you as well   I like knowing that even though the admissions numbers are cutthroat in this field, the people themselves are nice.