possibly_necessary

Hey, all! Newly-registered longtime lurker here. I've seen this sentiment repeated several times in this thread, and I'm wondering what the rationale is for it. I'm not holding out much hope for Penn or Hopkins, as they have released both accepts and waitlists. But the fact that UCSD did release a bunch of rejections almost a month ago makes me feel like not having heard anything is, at this point, a good thing. I know you (ianfaircloud) have put a lot of time into studying the historical behavior of these schools/committees. Does UCSD not generally run even an unoffical waitlist? Do they only make one round of offers?