JPR,
I wouldnt necessarily place Cincinnati in the safety section of your schools--unlike UCSB it is not merely a MA stepping stone program. It has some major scholars (Parker and Gutzwiller, to start, on the philology side) plus one of the best classics libraries in the country (if not the world) and a vibrant and active scholarly community from what I could tell from my visit last year. Finally, the support is very good. And finally if I remember correctly from trolling these boards in the past, you didnt get an admit from that school last year.
In terms of your other schools, Washington is very stingy with their funding, UNC and Chicago are great, but Brown is really going through a transition period with their senior faculty (Putnam, Konstan, Fornara, and Rauflabb have all retired in the past 2 years) and Harvard is, as usual, highly over-rated.
I would suggest also applying to Stanford if you are looking at top end programs or even USC where they are doing interesting work.