I’m coping hard, but I’m not going to be convinced that we aren’t getting it until the fat lady herself sings. There’s no way that only one person here from both of our disciplines gets awarded.
I'm going to assume that these are degree specific until decisions come out or until someone else who applied for Chemistry says they got a March update
There was a spreadsheet a few years that showed correlation between the number/date of updates that applicants received and their likelihood of receiving the award. Nada on my end for today though.