For the people who have given up hope on NYU, I would wait till you get official notification to resign yourselves. Applicants are notified at different times depending on their field, their adviser, etc. Some of my friends were not notified that they were accepted or rejected until March, some not even till April. Don't worry!
Additionally, I know it's tempting to try to figure out why admissions decisions are made the way they are made in order to predict whether or not you will get in somewhere. This is just going to drive you crazy. This was a really competitive year everywhere, and it is impossible to know what schools are looking for by analyzing the information that is posted on this website. Most top tier history PhD cohorts are motley crews with different backgrounds, levels of professional and educational experience, and language skills.
Anyway, in sum, my advice is just wait until you hear. If you get in, great, if not, it's probably not specific problem with you or your application. Decisions like this are often made on a very arbitrary basis. I hope this quells your anxieties a bit.