Hey all - for what it's worth:
BA Phil: 2.49GPA
MA Phil: 4.0GPA
GRE: 160V/152Q/4.5W
SCHOOLS: UC San Diego, UC Riverside, Stanford, U Arizona, U Indiana, WashU, NYU
OTHER: Co-Founder of an Internet Startup, writing sample received a R&R request from a peer-reviewed journal
I honestly have no idea what my chances are. I suspect that BA GPA won't help me any (despite the fact that there's a ten-year gap between it an my MA work). That GRE will probably not be much help either. Further, I'm coming from an unknown MA program so it's not like I'll get a pedigree bump. All of these schools are competetive, so I've made sure my plan 'B' takes not getting into any programs this year into account.