If its any help, my undergrad advisor said in terms of a more holistic department: first comes the big ivies (i.e Harvard, Yale, Princeton, Columbia), then the almost ivies and Penn (NYU, Berkeley, Chicago, Stanford, Duke, MIT, Northwestern), then public ivies (Berkley, UCLA Michigan, Wisconsin, Chapel Hill), then a few other places like CUNY or Bryn Mawr. He said to be aware though of the precarious UC funding situation, especially at a place like the newer programs of UCSC or even UC Santa Barbara. Granted this doesn't take into methodological or specific specialities within these programs. Also, it appears some of these programs will be taking on big rounds of retirements within the decade. Likewise, some (perhaps most notably at the "public ivies" seem to be hiring some new up and comers). Just that I would pass it along.