Any updates? Anyone going to be visiting Michigan for their open house, by the way?
I've heard back from everyone except Berkeley -- although I assume that, given the future departure from the department of the specialist in my field, a rejection wouldn't be too surprising, and would be essentially based on fit with the department.
I can assure you that the process for Oxford and Cambridge is perfectly tuned to maximizing the anxiety. I've been essentially admitted to both programs, but the departments don't control funding. Rather, the departments recommend admission and nominates the candidate for funding opportunities, the university admits, and the university (or funding committees in the case of special programs) then determines funding. So it's a long stretch, and being admitted doesn't mean squat until you get funding ....