applecapple3

Yeah, i'd definitely say uva is elite and it's ranked 47 and 69 respectively for grad math and stats also i am a girl
 
edit: thanks for the advice and link to other site!
another edit: just wondering, am I better off trying for master's programs and, if so, what tier?

You could ask your question over at https://mathematicsgre.com/. I am sure they will be able to give you better advice about specific programs.
My hunch is that you'd also have to aim mainly for mid-tier to lower-tier programs in Applied Math (i.e. I would definitely not apply to Caltech, NYU Courant, or the like, with your profile), because of things like the B in Real Analysis, no research experience, and sparse graduate coursework (a lot of the applicants for the "top" programs will have already taken a few grad classes such as measure theory, etc.). You'd probably also have to take the Math Subject GRE, though I am not sure how important this is for Applied Math (as opposed to Pure Math). For Stat PhD programs, you don't need the Math Subject GRE is most cases -- it appears that even Stanford Stat is no longer requiring it.

UVA is the 4th best public university in the country and ranked 26th overall by USNWR. It's not Ivy, but it's also considered a pretty good school. I think since the OP is domestic, he can aim as high as ~40 but shouldn't bother with too many schools ranked higher than that (on account of the math grades). 

It would help to know what your grades in your math/stat/related classes were and who you can ask for letters of recommendation (plus a general feel for how strong you anticipate they would be). That might give a clearer idea of what schools you should apply to. That said, your overall GPA is probably a bit on the lower end for the very top-tier programs -- unless UVA is known for grade deflation and I'm just not aware of that. But let us know your math grades and your intended rec letters, and this will give a better sense of what schools you should target.