i have my status update yesterday, 28th April. This is my second time applying...was rated competitive last year...It is generally not a good indication if your update status changes in late April. Maybe the panel met and gave decision already.
If your status is still pending from the date of submission and u haven't heard anything....that's the best combo...but it might depend...just sharing my own experience from last year....
those who received in 2024 cycle, had no posting and they got their acceptance mid-May. Good luck!
🙂