Don't worry, mims--I don't hate you. Envy you, yes, but I don't hate you!
This is the second time I've applied to Yale, actually, and I've known the professor I'd hope to work with there for several years. The last time I applied, three years ago, I was among the last to be cut from the pool, and I know I am even more qualified this time around. You're right--so much of it comes down to politics. I happen to work on a field that Yale is known for, but in the wider art historical community is rather "unfashionable," so even if you've got someone rooting for you on an admissions committee, there's no guarantee. It's just a crapshoot, really. I've got an awesome potential job on the horizon, anyway, so if I don't get in to Yale, I'll be disappointed but not be completely heartbroken. And I've got CUNY to hear from later this spring, so I'm sure it will work out for the best!
Now, who are the other two Yale acceptances who posted yesterday and today?