Seeking advice on what schools are appropriate.
The Rundown
Undergraduate Institution: Medium-size Midwest Public University. Not well known
Majors: B.A. Mathematics / Economics
GPA: 3.54
Type of student: White Domestic Male
Graduate Institution: Large Southern Public University
Program: Econ PhD program dropout. MA in Economics.
GPA: 3.25
GRE Scores: (Unofficial scores)
Q: 167
V: 167
W: unknown
Relevant Coursework:
Undergrad:
Mathematical Statistics (3 quarters): A-, A, A-
Statistical Computing: A
Linear Algebra: B
Matrix Theory: A-
Real Analysis / Adv. Calc (2 quarters): A, A
Elem. Point. Set Topology: A-
Graduate:
Econometrics (2 semester): A-, B
Limited Dependent Variables: A (In Econ Dept. Transcript shows Incomplete changed to A)
Survival Analysis: A (In Stats Dept. Transcript shows Incomplete changed to A)
Panel Data: A- (In Econ Dept.)
Time Series: D- (In Stats Dept. Undergraduate level course. I messed up here. Didn't do the homework, which turned out to be worth 60%)
LORs: Not sure yet. I'm considering one econometrician from grad school, one econometrician from undergrad, and a statistician from undergrad. Not likely to be well known by admission committee.
Papers:
I have one empirical paper published in a mid-to-low level economics journal that uses a panel regression with one co-author.
The Point:
Essentially, I dropped the ball in grad school. I was disappointed with my poor econ placements and accepted an offer at a school that was a bad fit because it was the best funding. Didn't have the maturity to deal with a bad situation and walked away leaving a mess. Cleaned up mess later and received my degree.
I'd like to go back and get a PhD in Statistics. I like Bayesian statistics and recently have been getting into Statistical Learning. I'm very pessimistic about my chances though. Partly based on how poorly I did applying to Econ PhD programs and partly because I'm switching fields. I know Standford and Carnegie Mellon have great programs in Statistical Learning, and Duke is great for Bayesian Stats, but I have no idea what would be a good fit beyond that and know that all of those schools are out of my reach.
So my question is, "What can I do?" Is it possible to go to a less prestigious university, do well, and transfer to a better one? What schools would be willing to accept a student with a transcript as blemished as mine? Help?!