Waitlisted in two top schools, my odds?

[Athanasius Kircher]

Hello everyone ?

I am an international applicant, in the Humanities with 2 MAs and a not unfair backup plan for PhD (starting September 2023) from my country. After an internship in one Ivy League University this fall, I liked it and decided to apply to PhD programs in the US. I applied only to 4 top universities (all Ivies), overestimating a bit my chances (but I still have my backup plan for next year). 

I have been interviewed by 3 programs and have not heard back from the fourth. My current situation: rejected from one of them, I have been waitlisted by two others (apparently one of the two waitlists moves a lot since the department doesn't over-admit at all, but one never knows), and still waiting (but without any hope, since I did not get an interview) from the fourth. 

Do you have an idea of my odds to get in one of those two programs?

Thank you in advance to everyone willing to respond ?

I have posted the question in another section, I hope this is not a problem...  

[cs99]

I honestly don’t know the statistics behind waitlist acceptances, but I would email the head of admissions at both schools and tell them that if you’re accepted off the waitlist then you’re prepared to commit immediately. You can also put in the email that the program is your top choice — I don’t think it’s right to lie but you could put this in the email to the school you would want to go to most. Note that this strategy means you’d have to accept the first offer you get, but the chance of being offered a spot from both schools is low anyway. Any school would rather admit someone they know for sure will come than start admitting people off the waitlist randomly and having to deal with people declining until someone finally accepts. 
 

It may not be clear who the head of admissions is — in this situation I would email a POI or the head of the department directly and ask if the information could be passed along. 

[Athanasius Kircher]

@cs99 thank you for you answer, I followed your advice! 
 

A quick update: no news from any program. People told me that is good sign, since the longer the silence, the higher the possibility that people are thinking not to accept their offer. 
Ideas? ?