Before I found this forum, I had accepted that with 950 people awarded grants already, compared to 905 last year, my odds of HM were about 99%. I stopped thinking about it, starting getting on with my life, and only checked the NSF page once per week.
Now, thanks to you, I have spent hours reading about the ARRA, browsing forums and blogs, I refresh web sites that don't change over and over again, and I've started to think I may get a grant after all.
My productivity is ruined.