I mailed my POI and he replied back. He is a genuinely nice person but then there is only so much people can help you with. I would be happiest man if 30-50% is true and I could make a cut but I don't come as an optimistic man.
Regarding Rice and 'you know what', I will only suggest not to worry too much. Your POI atleast spoke to you and showed interest, you might well get in. Don't give yourself a hard time, I come with a GRE of 330 and am yet to make it to anywhere.
All you can do is try and I can see that you do. Good luck for the coming weeks.