luminalcoin8

Dates of first acceptance, last year: Feb 15: Stanford Feb 17: Michigan and Yale Feb 28: Harvard If it's any indication, both Princeton and Berkeley released on the exact same day this year as last year (Jan. 31).

Claiming an NYU acceptance and a Princeton rejection

Ok, hmm. At the risk of sounding flippant, I think it's way too early for you to assume striking out across the board. To illustrate: it seems like you've applied to schools that are pretty selective- i.e. have acceptance rates that are on average around ten percent. If you had, say, a ten percent chance of getting into any given school, the chances that you would be rejected from the first five schools you hear back from are better than not: .9^5=~59% However, the changes of getting rejected everywhere with those same odds are considerably lower: .9^15=~20.5%. From what it sounds like, you have a pretty competitive profile, so I don't think it's unreasonable to assume you have at least a 10% chance of getting into any given school, making for an ex ante probability of getting in to at least one place at 79.4% at the beginning of the cycle and 65.1% now that you've (presumably) been rejected by five schools. Obviously these probabilities are dependent on the quality of the applicant (again, it seems like you are more qualified than average) and these calculations are extremely rough, but I hope they give you a sense of why you have reason to keep hope. Even very qualified applicants can expect to get rejections galore in an environment this brutally competitive.

@komina12345, how many schools have you applied to?

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/02/us/groundhog-day-2018-shadow-trnd/index.html looks like there's going to be another six weeks of pending applications...

something for NYU applicants like myself to consider... last year they released acceptances on this day, February 2nd

Also claiming a Berkeley acceptance! Comparative/American. One hell of a turnaround after nothing from Princeton today

There are already three Columbia "acceptances" as well...why would anyone waste their time writing these??

Re the AW: I wouldn't worry about it too much. After all, schools have your SOP and WS to view, and most probably look to those as a better measure of your writing ability.

The MACRM program at Harris would probably be the best fit for you, @not@prof_yet. It is as mathematically rigorous as a phd in economics, but focuses on preparation into polisci and/or econ. It also offers an apprenticeship program that helps with PhD placement, meaning it's likely you could work with Robinson or someone similar

John Roemer at Yale is one of the fathers of analytical marxism, but he's getting up there (mid-70s I think)