In committee 177, previous years cutoff were 42-46%. I was 43% this year so was quite hopeful. However, when I emailed them to inquire about when us alternates would hear back, they said that they only gave 35/92 people initial offers (38%) but may give more depending on availability of funding. Additional funding is spread across all committees. They also said that if funding does become available, it could be as late as March 2022. After that, assume you are not getting an offer.
There is also the possibility of people rejecting their offers as well, which the NSERC rep didn't really talk about in their email.