bdanubius

It seems that ARO is the holdup... I'm 12/1/2019 (day I submitted) and Biomathematics ARO. This has been suggested before, but the dates make most sense to me as cutoffs: if you were updated in late Dec, jan, feb or early march, it probably means a cut. Reason for this, is at the next round, the reviewer only wants to pull up "active" applicants who are still in the running. But hey, it may just be an early Dec hopeful dream. I'm thinking ARO for some reason just didn't put in updates yet, hence the high rate of early Dec (day of submission) updates.

Us, when the results inevitably don't arrive by close of business:

Hi all, just to contribute my 2c: I applied for the fellowship, and currently have last update 12/1. Since then, my letter writers have been pinged on 12/5 and 1/26 to resubmit letters. So there have been clear updates to my app that aren't reflected in the last update time. Either this means sysplus completely lost my application and its components (totally possible), or that the dates are not much to worry about. Absent true decisions, I think that's the most concrete we'll get on these dates. I applied Army, Biomathematics.