Perhaps... in years past, they just masked all progress, whereas this year we can see progress. So perhaps, if the phase doesn't change, then it signals that it hasn't been sent forward (but it still could either be sent forward or stay at that phase up and until all final results are finally released) .... whereas if the phase changes, at least this early, it signals that it has progressed to a later phase. However, that the phase has updated, doesn't imply it has been rejected, because it could still update again before the final decisions come out. At any rate, it seems it would be early to reject at the DOD phase given that DOD review is to happen in March.
What strikes me, is that the update happened at the end of January to "phase 2" instead of happening at the end of Feb according to the schedule posted above.
@ryanleh Have you heard back from your e-mail? I think I found sometimes I needed to follow up once or multiple times to get a response...