I'd say you're a 95% admit.
You probably won't find the program very challenging, at least in the core - seek out the better professors. Recognize that the program is mainly crosslisted courses and that means that you'll retake Intermediate Micro, Macro, and Metrics. Challenge yourself by asking who the better professors are and taking their courses rather than rehashing the same courses you took before.
(The answer to that is almost always Peter Morgan, by the way. He's the bomb.)
If you have any questions, let me know.
- ACG, M.S. 2010 (Applied Micro-Econometrics), Buffalo