Bio-/Statistics PhD profile evaluation: chances of getting in?

[stats_student]

Hello,

I am a Statistics Master's student and planing on applying to a Bio-/Statistics PhD program starting Fall 2017. I've been browsing through this forum for months, trying to figure out my chances of actually getting into a program.

I feel like my profile is good, but being an international student makes it kind of hard for me to predict my chances. I know that international competition is hard, funding is limited and I'll have a better shot at private institutions. I am not execting to get into a top 15 program, but what do you think are my chances in the 15-25ish ranks? Will I have a better shot in biostatistics or statistics programs?

I very much appreciate any advice you might have.

Undergrad Institution: Large European university (best statistics program in country)
Major: Statistics 
Minor: Theoretical medicine
GPA: 3.64 Overall; 3.57 major

Grad Institution: Large European university (best statistics program in country)
Major: Statistics with a concentration in Biometrics
Minor: Theoretical medicine
GPA: 3.88 Overall; 3.85 major

Type of student: International white female
GRE: Didn't take it yet, but expecting Q 160+ from practice tests
TOEFL: 109

Courses:
Undergrad: Real Analysis I (B*), Real Analysis II (C*), Linear Algebra I+ II (B*), Linear Models (A), Estimation and Testing Theory (A), Fundamental Calculus of Probability (B), Stochastic Models and Simulations (A), Statistical Methods (B), Descriptive Statistics (A), Survey Techniques (A), Fundamental Design of Experiments (A), Statistics in Genetics (Epidemiology) (A), Case Studies (A)
Grad: Probability Theory (B), Decision Theory (A), Stochastic Processes (A), Classification Methods (A), Post-genomic Analysis (A), Advanced Design of Experiemts (A), Intro to Bioinformatics (C), Seminar Changepoint Analysis (A), Case Studies (A)
Programming: R, Python, SPSS, SAS
On-Going: Clinical Trials, Theory of Sampling Techniques
*: Yes, these are bad. They were actually pass/fail in freshman year with a failure rate of up to 80% so I was just glad I passed...

(Research) Experience:
- Master Thesis: Currently working on it in cooperation with a Top 3 pharmaceutical company. Presented at a national (not US) conference. 2 publications planed, but won't be submitted before application.
- 1 semester of graduate research at a US university (study abroad); genomics related topic
- 2 years of working for a biometrics/epidemiology academic research institute: working and analysing survey data, exploratory data cleaning, SAS programming, many small tasks in different research projects
- 6 weeks internship at a biometrics and clinical research academic institution
- Bachelor's thesis: survival time analysis on a big breast cancer data set
- Teaching: 2 semesters analysis I+II tutor, summer math prep class

Letters of recommendation:
- Biostatistics prof: thesis adviser
- Biostatistics prof from US university: grad research
- Current boss: director in Top 3 Pharma company; supervisor of my master's thesis