100% with three of them, one I have an interview with and one I'm still waiting to hear back from about being on the shortlist, one was a straight rejection from the lowest-ranked program out of the three
probably ~85%-90% with 4 of them, one I have an in-person with, 2 I got rejected from, still waiting for the other one
and like 75-80% with 4 of them, have an interview with one, waiting to hear from one, assumed rejection from the other 2