I was thinking that everyone shared his/her "expectations vs. reality" regarding the admission decisions, and what he/she learned out of them ...
I'll start:
Acceptances: University of Minnesota (Expected), UCLA & UMich (I was 60% confident), UIUC (surprised and thought of it as out of my league !!!)
Rejections: MIT (expected), CalTech (expected), Purdue (i thought i'd make it), UPenn (not expected), Stanford (expected)
What I learned: there is a lot of randomness, and if you are an international student, your admission decision is affected by how much they know your school, here's why:
one of my undergrad school's alumni did his PhD at UCLA at the same department in the same area, and he did very well, so maybe because of that they have a good impression about my undergrad school
my undergrad's university rector did his BS and MS in the same university, and then went to UMich for his PhD, and he ranked first among 60+ students in the department
I know that some professors at UIUC know about my undergrad school