Graduating from a small liberal arts school.
GPA: 3.96/4.00 in philosophy.
GRE scores: 169V/156Q/5W.
Strong letters of recommendation, and what I would consider to be an excellent writing sample. (Though obviously we all think our letters and writing samples are excellent, otherwise why apply to such a competitive field?)
Primary interests in ethics, metaethics, and political philosophy. Secondary interests in game theory, philosophy of action, free will, metaphysics, etc.
Applying to 5 top 20 programs, 5 in the 30-50 range, 1 unranked, and 2 terminal MA programs.
It seems so hard to predict where anyone stands a chance at getting in. Honestly, I feel like I'm buying 12 ridiculously expensive lottery tickets.